Rotten-Empowerment
0x93625ed2f5dd7308df4c05c331c9bb31893ed4a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$513.02
Total PnL
$-464.77
Realised
$-10.50
Win rate
13%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
138 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$80.27
$-19.38
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.63
$-33.59
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
60 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.55
$-1.50
- NO
Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 9.5%-10.5%?
43 shares @ 84.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$33.36
$-2.80
- YES
Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?
145 shares @ 19.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.24
$-5.18
- YES
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
60 shares @ 75.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$19.38
$-25.34
- YES
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $486,000 on September 30?
178 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.74
$-18.74
- YES
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
39 shares @ 71.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$18.50
$-8.86
- NO
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
38 shares @ 76.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.80
$-12.22
- NO
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30?
33 shares @ 76.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.77
$-9.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill FUT Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?$5.20Jul 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?$4.40Jul 23, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?$5.75Jul 23, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by July 31?$0.00Jul 23, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heidi Alexander be in the Burnham cabinet?$0.00Jul 23, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$0.00Jul 23, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?$0.00Jul 23, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMOver $8M committed to the RipCars public sale?$0.00Jul 23, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?$0.00Jul 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?$19.16Jul 23, 01:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$37.41Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 24?$10.88Jul 22, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$10.88Jul 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$20.77Jul 22, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$20.77Jul 22, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?$8.36Jul 22, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?$9.14Jul 22, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?$13.81Jul 22, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?$14.00Jul 22, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $39.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.