Excited-Discharge
0x936ce37fb87e14912c91541c246947ea2e947699
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$113.69
Total PnL
$-11.11
Realised
$-15.20
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Solana reach $120 in July?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$50.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 93.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$48.28
$3.28
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
15 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.01
$0.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $120 in July?$50.03Jul 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$14.62Jul 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$45.15Jul 15, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.37Jul 15, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$29.26Jul 15, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by June 30?$53.27Jul 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.01Jun 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$53.01Jun 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$29.02Jun 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$40.40Jun 18, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$16.03Jun 18, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$27.11Jun 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$25.67May 7, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$40.00May 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$16.00May 6, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$27.00May 6, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Pacers$17.82May 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$19.06May 6, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$46.14May 6, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Pacers$15.56Apr 7, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $36.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.