Gleaming-Manatee
0x93724e69d3b4ebe7c45c71a526e82613c59a5093
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$188.30
Total PnL
$-25.23
Realised
$0.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.10
$0.10
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.26
$-0.96
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 9.3¢·now 12.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.22
$4.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.96
$0.56
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
200 shares @ 22.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.70
$-1.10
- NO
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.80
$-0.01
- YES
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by July 31?
61 shares @ 19.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.69
$-2.12
- NO
Another Elon baby by June 30?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.23
$0.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.90Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?$0.75Jun 13, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PARIVISION reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$2.00Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bret Johnsen be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$20.00Jun 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$14.81Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.00Jun 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$12.16Jun 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?$38.35Jun 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026?$14.80Jun 12, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?$0.42Jun 12, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?$0.60Jun 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026?$37.20Jun 12, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?$8.88Jun 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$17.98Jun 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$4.04Jun 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$0.00Jun 12, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.