Cultured-Grove
0x9382bebf7851d242840bf9db183d60b4eba8dd19
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-553.60
Realised
$9.00
Win rate
93%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 19?
3590 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 21?
2330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
385 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 22?
343 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
340 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.31
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
320 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?
260 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
257 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 22?
249 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$9.40Aug 10, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down - August 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$11.39Aug 10, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$8.17Aug 10, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$8.09Aug 10, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$9.32Aug 10, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.55Aug 10, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.02Aug 10, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$8.14Aug 10, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$8.12Aug 10, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$8.08Aug 10, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$11.27Aug 10, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$11.68Aug 10, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$8.16Aug 10, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$8.18Aug 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$9.65Aug 10, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$9.90Aug 10, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$8.10Aug 10, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$8.11Aug 10, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$6.07Aug 10, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$3.46Aug 10, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.