Slow-Registration
0x93961f1343b606d9a54134a9694b75be2de56fe0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$6.44
Total PnL
$-85.55
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.45
$0.17
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 20?
5305 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.61
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 7?
5300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 7?
2120 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?
2083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 22?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?
2080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 25?
2071 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$14.36Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$14.33Jul 16, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$14.26Jul 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$14.22Jul 2, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.20Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.30Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$6.19Jun 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.28Jun 20, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$2.01Jun 15, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$2.00Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.02May 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.02May 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.02May 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.02May 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.04May 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.04May 30, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$0.04May 30, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$4.01May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$4.00May 21, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$1.00May 9, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.