Velvety-Relief
0x93abbc022ce98d6f45d4444b594791cc4b7a9723
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$84.4K
Total PnL
$-666.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
386409 shares @ 25.3¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$76.3K
$-21.4K
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
50000 shares @ 10.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$7.5K
$2.2K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1100 shares @ 17.9¢·now 25.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$281.05
$84.15
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
3500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$-245.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
497 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.01
$-12.42
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1300 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.45
$-17.06
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
340000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-231.2K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
175336 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-690.30
- PORTLANDFIRE
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)
110914 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-57.4K
- CINCINNATI REDS
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
85142 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$6.80Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$6.80Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.83Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.83Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.81Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$6.83Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$6.93Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.92Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.98Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.90Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.80Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.80Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$6.55Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.21Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.49Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?$562.45Jul 11, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?$1.05Jul 11, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?$1.05Jul 11, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?$1.05Jul 11, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?$1.05Jul 11, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$249.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 20, 23:00 UTC → Jun 6, 23:07 UTC
- BUYKnicks vs. Spurs$149.6K@68¢Jun 5, 23:34 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Knicks vs. Spurs
$149.6K · 60% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $119.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.