0x93b4d1d881de7b6164304fdf7e05f576eec8d43e
0x93b4d1d881de7b6164304fdf7e05f576eec8d43e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?
37 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.80Jun 29, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jun 27, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.13May 16, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 4, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?$1.00Apr 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.