0x93b818e2115d676171e934df670bf9673751a68a
0x93b818e2115d676171e934df670bf9673751a68a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$17.74
Total PnL
$-3.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.8B?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.9B?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Trump post "IQ" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump post "Tina" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump post "Autopen" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.35B?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the NYT front page headlines say "Putin" this week?$1.01May 25, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Traitor" this week?$1.12May 25, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?$1.18May 25, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?$1.03May 25, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$1.43May 25, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Epstein" this week?$1.03May 25, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mamdani" this week?$1.25May 25, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$0.00May 25, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" in Maine?$0.00May 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?$0.00May 25, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Coffee" in Maine?$1.22May 25, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?$1.10May 25, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?$1.49May 25, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Climate" in Maine?$0.00May 25, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" in Maine?$4.02May 25, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Fight" in Maine?$1.20May 25, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Iran" in Maine?$1.23May 25, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?$1.56May 25, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?$1.02May 25, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.9B?$1.01May 24, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.