Infatuated-Chronometer
0x93bdb0e70307cef6107d329c61ba2aee9355805a
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-320.25
Realised
$-62.34
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
236 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8AM ET
131 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MACCABI TEL AVIV
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
128 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6PM ET
117 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?
116 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- KNICKS
Mavericks vs. Knicks
104 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.07Jul 22, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$0.32Jul 22, 14:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.25Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.07Jul 19, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$14.43Jul 11, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.21Jul 11, 21:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 14:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.