Tepid-Ignorance
0x93c31707d1d5c8885b492663a35da9863ea87240
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$150.41
Total PnL
$-15.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?
12 shares @ 66.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$7.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 10?
9 shares @ 64.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.17
$-0.64
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 10?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$5.12
$0.22
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.11
$0.26
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$5.07
$0.21
- NO
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B?
9 shares @ 74.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$4.93
$-1.59
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 10?
9 shares @ 63.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$4.90
$-0.98
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$4.90
$-0.45
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$0.00
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
8 shares @ 61.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$4.83
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 10?$4.97Jul 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$5.35Jul 3, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on July 10?$5.03Jul 3, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.60 on July 10?$5.03Jul 3, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on July 10?$5.03Jul 3, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on July 10?$5.03Jul 3, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 9?$4.97Jul 3, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $41B?$6.52Jul 3, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 10?$5.88Jul 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 10?$5.80Jul 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?$4.90Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$4.95Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$4.86Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$4.86Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$4.86Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$4.97Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?$4.92Jul 3, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$4.86Jul 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by July 15?$4.86Jul 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?$4.96Jul 3, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.