Unfit-Possibility
0x93d7dd826581c5314556d6b10de6613063646b2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.11
Total PnL
$-8.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.83
$0.01
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.09
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.08
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.36
- MIAMI (OH)
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$0.00Jul 24, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.06Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.12Jul 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1.06Jul 11, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?$1.08Jul 11, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on July 6?$1.37Jul 6, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on July 6?$1.36Jul 5, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.23Jun 19, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.10Jun 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.10Jun 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.21Jun 13, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$2.08May 30, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$1.05May 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.02Apr 30, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.06Apr 29, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.74Apr 29, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.08Apr 14, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.36Apr 14, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.36Apr 14, 07:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.