Cautious-Strudel
0x93e68ba62a30bb89f4a916a350b0a1869ff0ddcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 20?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 16?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 20?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.99
- NO
Next US strike on Syria on December 19?
51 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- CLIPPERS
Clippers vs. Magic
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 3?$78.08Jun 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 3?$78.00Jun 2, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?$78.08May 25, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 25?$78.00May 25, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$78.08May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$78.01May 22, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?$78.08May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?$78.01May 19, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$78.08May 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$78.00May 9, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$78.08May 9, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?$78.00May 7, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$78.08May 7, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$78.00May 4, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$78.08May 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$78.00Apr 29, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?$78.07Apr 29, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24?$78.00Apr 24, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?$78.07Apr 24, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 22?$78.00Apr 22, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.