Academic-Buffet
0x93fbf1e97a7e49acec90dc2d8fc77551bb3bb608
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$103.29
Total PnL
$-64.17
Realised
$13.82
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 29.9¢·now 30.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$30.25
$0.35
- YES
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
200 shares @ 27.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$27.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$23.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
26 shares @ 41.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 1, 2026$8.48
$-2.22
- NO
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.40
$-16.60
- YES
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 33.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$4.98
$-7.20
- NO
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?
150 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$3.67
$-9.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?$3.77Jul 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?$6.39Jul 25, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?$1.03Jul 25, 18:56 UTC
- MERGEWill there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?$60.00Jul 25, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?$44.39Jul 25, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.15Jul 25, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$29.90Jul 25, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.15Jul 25, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?$54.00Jul 25, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?$6.75Jul 25, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?$49.20Jul 25, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?$2.32Jul 25, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?$12.60Jul 25, 12:41 UTC
- MERGEWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?$19.99Jul 25, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?$5.00Jul 25, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?$29.61Jul 25, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?$15.40Jul 25, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?$44.40Jul 25, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?$4.29Jul 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?$16.80Jul 25, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.