Busy-Policeman
0x94006fc006aac975ca35037fdeee6bbeee1a979e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-111.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump say "Caribbean" during Honduran President events?
202 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
45 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
15 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.47
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the Champion of Coal event?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
12 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$11.80Feb 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$11.79Feb 12, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?$13.47Feb 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.00Feb 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilo$5.00Feb 11, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs$5.00Feb 11, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs$12.18Feb 11, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs$5.00Feb 11, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?$9.99Feb 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the Champion of Coal event?$10.00Feb 11, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?$7.57Feb 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$25.25Feb 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?$0.63Feb 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$26.94Feb 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Feb 10, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.60Feb 10, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 10, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 10, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 10, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Feb 10, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.