0x940b22533d3c9f55172ab2a413a0c098beb02f9b
0x940b22533d3c9f55172ab2a413a0c098beb02f9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.25
Realised
$-158.84
Win rate
11%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
1107 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
362 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
351 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.66
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
153 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
100 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.45
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
63 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.97
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
56 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.59
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
47 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.52
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
41 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$3.36Feb 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.50Jan 30, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.50Jan 30, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.53Jan 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.53Jan 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.14Jan 30, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.13Jan 30, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$22.39Jan 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$4.83Jan 30, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$4.38Jan 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$11.98Jan 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$11.98Jan 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.53Jan 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.53Jan 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.55Jan 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.55Jan 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.14Jan 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.14Jan 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.28Jan 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.77Jan 30, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.