Reflecting-Assassination
0x941392e79b3374eabcacf0ba83229d8acb5811ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$148.79
Total PnL
$-149.15
Realised
$3.07
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- MICHAEL OLIVEIRA
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)
74 shares @ 69.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$56.41
$5.53
- ROBERT VALENTIN
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)
56 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$33.08
$5.28
- NO
Fight to Go the Distance?
55 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$21.53
$1.36
- HAILEY COWAN
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
101 shares @ 16.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$20.66
$4.53
- MARCIN TYBURA
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
35 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$8.15
$1.21
- NO
Fight to Go the Distance?
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$4.32
$0.47
- MATEUSZ REBECKI
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.48
$0.31
- TOFIQ MUSAYEV
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.16
$-0.23
- ZACHARY REESE
UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.20
- NO
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?
64 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFight to Go the Distance?$2.00Jul 28, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$3.84Jul 27, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$22.02Jul 27, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Kyle Prepolec vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)$3.17Jul 26, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$6.15Jul 26, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)$32.09Jul 26, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)$6.94Jul 25, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$9.97Jul 25, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)$18.80Jul 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)$25.95Jul 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.85Jul 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)$1.39Jul 23, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)$32.15Jul 23, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$36.13Jul 23, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$76.99Jul 19, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)$62.82Jul 19, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alvin Hines vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)$2.08Jul 18, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Dione Barbosa vs. Anna Melisano (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$49.41Jul 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)$3.42Jul 18, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$7.14Jul 18, 05:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $13.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.