Well-Informed-Watermelon
0x94149ed370bb3c51fb708b575330acc6a288e346
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$7.10
Total PnL
$-16.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by January 15?$1.00Jan 15, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 15, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.02Jan 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 January 12-18?$1.00Jan 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.03Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$2.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 11, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 11, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".