Velvety-Ferret
0x9415cf503582b7d8f27a4a152e0c380bf78a1285
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$200.49
Total PnL
$1.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 21?
37 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$37.14
$0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?
21 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$21.39
$0.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 23?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$10.19
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?
9 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$9.23
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 26?
9 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$8.91
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 18?
9 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$8.54
$0.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on April 22?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$6.61
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 20?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$6.40
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 18?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$5.85
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 24?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$5.58
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 18?$1.06May 17, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?$1.00May 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?$1.00May 13, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 9?$1.04May 10, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on May 9?$1.03May 9, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?$1.20May 7, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 5?$1.03May 5, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 5?$1.01May 5, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?$1.17May 5, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 4?$1.29May 5, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$1.34May 4, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 4?$1.28May 4, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on May 3?$1.18May 4, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on May 3?$3.29May 4, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on May 4?$1.47May 3, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on May 3?$1.63May 3, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on May 3?$1.63May 3, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on May 3?$1.14May 3, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$5.77May 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 2?$5.71Apr 30, 09:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.