Muffled-Eviction
0x941fe62b4c615c803654ba0a562068ddf8400261
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-340.79
Realised
$3.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?
36 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 23?
34 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?
34 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 22?
31 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 23?
30 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 27?
30 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 22?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?
26 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 22?
26 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 16?$4.08Jun 15, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?$4.47Jun 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?$1.03Jun 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?$2.07Jun 15, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$3.15Jun 15, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 1?$11.68Jun 1, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31?$11.74May 31, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?$6.04May 31, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?$6.06May 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?$3.43May 31, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?$5.59May 31, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?$5.52May 31, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?$3.39May 31, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 1?$1.02May 31, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?$8.11May 31, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 1?$1.99May 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 1?$2.59May 31, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 1?$9.99May 31, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31?$10.91May 31, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.45May 31, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.