Agonizing-Supplier
0x942537683b41603df208a42dd24d22e9f60a63f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$27.28
Total PnL
$-703.13
Realised
$-2.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 29.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.04
$1.04
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 20.1¢·now 20.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
24 shares @ 40.1¢·now 24.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.92
$-3.67
- YES
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First Half
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
237 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 0 Scotland?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
86 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.32Jul 29, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$94.80Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$30.97Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$30.13Jul 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.24Jul 19, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$40.71Jul 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$30.82Jul 19, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$20.35Jul 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$10.34Jul 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$10.23Jul 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$10.34Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$10.34Jul 18, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$27.91Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$10.40Jul 18, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$5.21Jul 18, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMEnzo Fernández: 1+ goals$50.00Jul 15, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$39.02Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$37.74Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.49Jul 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$8.29Jul 15, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $13.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.