0x94271d190812d75a23b2963436fdecce9625c967
0x94271d190812d75a23b2963436fdecce9625c967
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$62.94
Total PnL
$8.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 55.5¢·now 53.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$38.69
$-1.86
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
24 shares @ 49.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$24.00
$12.07
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$29.67Jul 10, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$5.60Jul 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?$6.00Jul 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$12.23Jun 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?$1.00Aug 26, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMQueens vs. Northern Arizona$0.00Aug 26, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?$2.20Aug 26, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$2.99Aug 26, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$1.95Apr 21, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope in 2025?$1.90Apr 13, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$20.03Mar 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$4.89Mar 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.96Mar 19, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$22.69Mar 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$27.61Mar 19, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 19, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUAB vs. St. Joseph's$1.93Mar 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAvalanche vs. Maple Leafs$2.88Mar 19, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAvalanche vs. Maple Leafs$1.99Mar 19, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.