Wallet digest

Activity score

55/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$90.30

Total PnL

$-5.1K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$59.50
$4.50
YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$19.50
$-0.50
YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1190 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$11.30
$-25.10
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on October 19?
3257 shares @ 90.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-2.9K
NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
876 shares @ 86.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-758.00
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
700 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025
$0.00
$-685.00
NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
485 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025
$0.00
$-119.70
NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?
298 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025
$0.00
$-205.81
NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
200 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-109.00
YES
Will India win?
130 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025
$0.00
$-120.00

Recent activity

YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk56 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 18, 00:15 UTC
Last active: Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 02:39:50 UTC·src:Polymarket Data