Flashy-Beard
0x944f510f4ecde073b82bf6c59e5eaa0b32f2ec88
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-263.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?
277 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 7?
276 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 8?
276 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 January 5-11?
276 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
274 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 12?
273 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5PM ET
272 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?
269 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 16?$3.94Jul 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?$1.69Jul 3, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$0.02Jun 5, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$0.15Jun 5, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$111.15Jun 5, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$109.27May 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27?$2.67May 27, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$107.74May 25, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 24?$1.58May 23, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?$21.51May 19, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$87.14May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?$84.96May 10, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$92.50May 10, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 12?$0.00May 1, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 2?$0.00Apr 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$89.91Apr 11, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 28, 5AM ET$87.81Apr 6, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,300 December 29-January 4?$0.00Mar 31, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?$0.00Mar 30, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.25 on March 28?$1.29Mar 29, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $41.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.