Unhappy-Modeling
0x945513c55210da831353efcd641fe2860e322530
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$386.85
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
620 shares @ 35.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$344.10
$127.10
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$42.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 February 2-8?
1000 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-167.72
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 2-8?
600 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.29
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 2-8?
294 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-93.11
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
150 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-116.50
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.40Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jul 15, 05:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $145.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.