0x9456a98e25e17752eb8c8a6f9f624ac1f988af0c
0x9456a98e25e17752eb8c8a6f9f624ac1f988af0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5
323 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-284.45
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
212 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-172.00
- UNDER
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
209 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-154.99
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5
205 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Tunisia?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?
117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Tunisia?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
103 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Tunisia?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
91 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.11Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$478.32Jun 15, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$303.29Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$2.30Jun 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 AND Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 AND Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$304.48Jun 15, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5$306.33Jun 15, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5$44.30Jun 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Sweden (-1.5)$44.59Jun 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5$197.11Jun 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Sweden (-1.5)$144.49Jun 15, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5$42.60Jun 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5$6.84Jun 15, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia?$3.04Jun 15, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sweden (-1.5)$253.74Jun 15, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5$210.14Jun 15, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5$33.33Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$10.47Jun 14, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5$285.47Jun 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$1.03Jun 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sweden 0 - 0 Tunisia?$4.11Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $113.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.