Tart-Serval
0x946313efacfc1e9193098e633852abc8feddd17c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.07
Realised
$-0.18
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
657 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
6 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MACKENZIE MCDONALD
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Mackenzie McDonald
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.49May 25, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.50May 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.50May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.50May 16, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.05May 13, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.00May 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.05May 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.09May 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.48May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.04May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.71May 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$0.46May 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.04May 13, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.06May 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.15May 8, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.24May 8, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.06May 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.53May 8, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.26May 8, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.05May 8, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.