Reliable-Nickname
0x946320a4f5d61c80d78328617253f5b838a9b519
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-118.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in June?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$-0.90
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?
91 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3PM ET
20 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
20 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?
12 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET
9 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in June?$2.05Jun 6, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$52.03May 17, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$58.25May 17, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.06May 17, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.81May 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 17?$1.78May 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?$7.23May 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?$7.23May 16, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 17?$5.29May 16, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$5.30May 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.43May 16, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.44May 16, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.82May 16, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.83May 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.72May 16, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$30.73May 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?$20.46May 16, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?$22.63May 16, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 14?$8.91May 14, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?$10.37May 14, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 04:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".