Smoggy-Planet
0x94700fded82ba336a5c98fcfd006814a1368989d
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$-563.57
Win rate
13%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?
3413 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-193.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 13?
2960 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 7?
2448 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
1852 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-968.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 9?
1524 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?
1354 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-886.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
1262 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1240 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?
700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$555.42Aug 20, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$14.69Aug 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$0.02Aug 20, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$6.69Aug 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$1.03Aug 20, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$26.97Aug 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$47.22Aug 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$4.36Aug 20, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$543.01Aug 20, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$5.18Aug 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$0.11Aug 20, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$7.96Aug 20, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$111.60Aug 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$5.14Aug 20, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$76.79Aug 20, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?$6.00Aug 20, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?$1.82Aug 20, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 77 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
77 closed markets, 13% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $60.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 77 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.