Paltry-Blank
0x9473b1eb8e05690b820549b3098bbe86df3d3b20
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-58.2K
Realised
$-3.8K
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Was Milei hacked?
6706 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-441.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on July 1?
6021 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.4K
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?
5312 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?
5288 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.7K
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?
5124 shares @ 99.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on February 12?
4786 shares @ 92.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?
4132 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?
2903 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- NO
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of April 13 2026?
1547 shares @ 93.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
1467 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 13 2026?$113.00Jul 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 13 2026?$97.72Jul 17, 06:50 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$7.79Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 6?$45.00Jul 6, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?$100.00Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 29 above $490?$55.00Jul 2, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 29 above $500?$55.00Jul 2, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $560 on July 2?$5.00Jul 2, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $550 on July 2?$37.55Jul 2, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 on July 2?$9.32Jul 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?$1.0KJul 2, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on July 1?$5.0KJul 2, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on July 1?$2.8KJul 2, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on July 1?$1.1KJul 2, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1?$123.97Jul 2, 04:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.55Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $580 on July 1?$1.0KJul 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $62,000 on July 1?$73.44Jul 1, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 6?$44.50Jul 1, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?$97.20Jul 1, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $879.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.