0x947c47a71649f32f2acc60f477048646df2da8a6
0x947c47a71649f32f2acc60f477048646df2da8a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.58
Total PnL
$-19.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HEAT
1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$1.00Feb 27, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Feb 27, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LMP – Hungary’s Green Party (LMP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Feb 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 27, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 27, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Feb 27, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)$1.00Feb 27, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 19:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".