Insidious-Cephalopod
0x94828d548b09888219e252e157947801ab250812
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$21.69
Total PnL
$0.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$11.90
$1.90
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$6.76
$1.76
- YES
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Will the Australian Labor Party win between 75 and 79 seats?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Australian Labor Party win between 75 and 79 seats?$5.00May 3, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$12.76May 3, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$0.00May 3, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$1.00Apr 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?$5.00Apr 27, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 27, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 27, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 27, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.00Apr 27, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$0.00Apr 27, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 27, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$0.00Apr 27, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.00Apr 27, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$9.09Apr 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.45Nov 6, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.85Nov 6, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.90Nov 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 6, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 6, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.20Nov 6, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 01:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".