Flawless-Nation
0x948d479c2ef1daf8757b5365cb6aefd28a547772
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.54
Total PnL
$0.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- $4000
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.72
$0.72
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Spurs
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2024$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Solana above $200 on November 15?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $1 before December?$1.00Nov 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Spurs$1.00Nov 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$1.00Nov 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $200 on November 15?$1.00Nov 15, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?$0.00Nov 15, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEM$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$0.00Nov 15, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?$1.30Nov 15, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEM$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$3.03Nov 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1.00Oct 26, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$1.00Oct 26, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$1.00Oct 26, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in October?$1.00Oct 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$1.00Oct 13, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.