Unpleasant-Mover
0x9491fbc4253fd8934b37b9542cb9131339713344
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$400.00
Total PnL
$-176.98
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
200 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.00
$105.00
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$200.00
$62.00
- AVATAR
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
2400 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-408.00
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
750 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-488.18
- NO
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?
700 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?
690 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-101.65
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
412 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- T1
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage
200 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
84 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$138.00Mar 1, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage$88.00Mar 1, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$321.00Feb 28, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$142.78Jan 15, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$123.34Jan 14, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$61.66Jan 14, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$37.00Jan 14, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.33Jan 14, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$46.89Jan 14, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$14.49Jan 14, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$42.00Jan 14, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$400.00Jan 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?$4.20Dec 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?$319.20Dec 8, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?$7.60Dec 8, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$48.00Dec 8, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$47.00Dec 8, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$51.00Dec 5, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT ads by December 31?$71.05Dec 4, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $70.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.