Expensive-Shame
0x9493f188ec0b3efea8700b2c9dce5e4aa17ea210
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$8.29
Total PnL
$-12.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.01Nov 26, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?$1.01Nov 17, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.02Nov 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Disney say "Subscriber" during earnings call?$1.01Nov 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$2.11Nov 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Disney say "Subscriber" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 12, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 11, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1.00Nov 10, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?$1.03Nov 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?$1.00Nov 8, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Nov 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?$1.01Nov 7, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $247.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".