Familiar-Sled
0x9497176ff256523f7f78877e11967b220d5686a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$60.24
Total PnL
$-26.19
Realised
$43.43
Win rate
59%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
62 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 5?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $75 on April 30?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 30?
298 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 5?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 2?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 3?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?
198 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 1?
187 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?
176 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$60.15May 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$62.03May 14, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?$0.20May 6, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?$0.12May 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?$0.08May 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?$0.70May 3, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$0.34May 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$0.34May 3, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 3?$0.12May 3, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$0.01May 3, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$0.01May 3, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 4?$0.06May 3, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?$0.50May 3, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 3?$0.20May 3, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?$0.01May 3, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?$0.08May 3, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$61.45May 3, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 4?$0.19May 3, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?$0.19May 3, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?$0.09May 3, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.