Long-Term-Quest
0x949825f9cd36f91aeed6ff589c2d56872860f522
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$20.97
Total PnL
$-47.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
2 shares @ 83.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.40
$0.40
- BRONCOS
Bills vs. Broncos
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score
2 shares @ 57.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- PATRIOTS
Texans vs. Patriots
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- NO
Pepe ETF in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Pepe ETF in 2025?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$1.00Jan 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Patriots$1.00Jan 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Seahawks$1.00Jan 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Broncos$1.00Jan 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?$1.00Jan 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score$1.00Jan 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?$1.00Jan 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score$1.00Jan 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Oct 25, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPepe ETF in 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 25, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.00Oct 25, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$3.01Oct 24, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Mavericks$2.38Oct 24, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Bulls$2.44Oct 24, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Oct 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?$3.71Oct 23, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 02:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".