Lasting-Obligation
0x949a3a3839e62e4f97e27cdac29c6b5f457d61d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$125.00
Total PnL
$-1.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
125 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$125.00
$0.13
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
120 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.48
- DEMOCRATIC
House control after 2024 election?
90 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
55 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.11Dec 11, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$0.63Nov 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.48Oct 11, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$124.88Sep 8, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$28.43Sep 8, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$28.66Aug 23, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $30.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.