Cool-Sustainment
0x94a29c4cfc470621fa93c973d25b660d523755eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$713.72
Total PnL
$-39.89
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
337 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$316.85
$16.85
- NO
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Charlotte Hornets?
301 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2026$301.09
$1.09
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
115 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$83.03
$-0.57
- YES
Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
11 shares @ 90.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?
21 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$1.46
$-0.42
- YES
Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
36 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
33 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
16 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
5 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?$84.73Aug 23, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?$301.65Aug 23, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?$123.65Aug 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?$1.97Aug 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.05Aug 22, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$10.05Aug 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?$100.96Aug 22, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?$376.38Aug 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?$7.04Aug 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?$350.87Aug 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$8.72Aug 18, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev$10.25Aug 18, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?$371.82Aug 17, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?$364.31Aug 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.01Aug 9, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.01Aug 9, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.01Aug 9, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.01Aug 9, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$4.06Aug 9, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.00Aug 9, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $32.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.