Watery-Radiosonde
0x94a8883db4e1191fb2bd3d6b8e4668313c595b11
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$139.04
Total PnL
$-392.98
Realised
$5.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
6783 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$139.04
$-64.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
1424 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
910 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-34.98
- NO
French confidence vote fails?
799 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-39.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
750 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
716 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.97
- NO
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?
646 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
625 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
400 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-112.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$10.80Mar 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$14.10Mar 19, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$24.56Mar 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$6.18Mar 19, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.81Mar 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$4.53Mar 19, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.54Mar 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.00Mar 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.00Mar 19, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.00Mar 19, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".