Upset-Lycra
0x94b1c893fb6180845fdc4844c2efdbfb028c615c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$49.36
Total PnL
$-6.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
16 shares @ 31.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.83
$10.83
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.31
$1.36
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$3.65
- YES
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$5.00
$1.70
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.42
$0.47
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
13 shares @ 27.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.14
$-3.36
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 22?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$5.62Jun 1, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00Jun 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?$29.97May 4, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?$9.89May 4, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?$14.66May 4, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?$5.15May 4, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00May 4, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-04-22?$0.00May 4, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$0.00May 4, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$4.71May 4, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.7KMay 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$20.01May 4, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$4.52May 4, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$2.28May 4, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$6.10May 4, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$6.25May 4, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$72.50May 4, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$10.31May 4, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$2.64May 4, 03:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $52.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.