Vain-Marble
0x94b7a0fbb315e16f179099ff9b8ceff2dd2bf543
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$82.07
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$18.26
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.48
$30.48
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
25 shares @ 19.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.47
$20.47
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$16.13
$11.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
1199 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-395.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
1103 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-137.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
1043 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-89.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
720 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-298.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
662 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-108.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
489 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-74.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
463 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$26.76Mar 6, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$100.00Mar 6, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$40.22Mar 6, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$94.90Mar 6, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.07Mar 6, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$16.42Mar 6, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$50.00Mar 6, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$17.08Mar 6, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$40.00Mar 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.44Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.92Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.44Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.36Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.24Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.60Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.00Mar 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$9.49Mar 6, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.00Mar 6, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".