Somber-Nephew
0x94d2e1fec3d6813e5575a5122b1bd844fdd52e27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-366.75
Realised
$7.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2480 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
429 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
422 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-101.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 7?
241 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
194 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
149 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$15.00Feb 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$20.00Nov 20, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Nov 20, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$7.81Nov 20, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Nov 20, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Nov 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Nov 20, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.