Well-Lit-Downstairs
0x94d607c37e86c077205fe500f49e2a8aea3ac458
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$26.24
Total PnL
$-7.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.15
$10.15
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.06
$1.06
- YES
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.13
$1.13
- BANDECCHI
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan Bandecchi
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$2.90
$0.90
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
12 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on July 14?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOstrava Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan Bandecchi$2.00Jan 31, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfL Bochum win on 2026-01-31?$2.00Jan 31, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$10.00Jan 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$5.00Jan 31, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$10.00Jan 31, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$11.99Jan 31, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$5.00Dec 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$5.10Dec 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.00Dec 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$7.00Dec 7, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$6.00Dec 7, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$7.02Dec 7, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMUTEP vs. Missouri State$9.00Dec 7, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUTEP vs. Missouri State$6.12Nov 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUTEP vs. Missouri State$3.00Nov 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$4.00Nov 15, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3.10Nov 15, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?$4.00Nov 1, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.00Nov 1, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - September 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$8.00Nov 1, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".