Useful-Credit
0x94d854eac206d57e7e349262b79cbd573eab37e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$422.79
Realised
$385.56
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by July 31?
608 shares @ 83.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$606.71
$96.71
- NO
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?
526 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$524.74
$24.74
- YES
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$485.24
$75.24
- NO
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 8.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$447.60
$406.31
- YES
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?
409 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$394.37
$34.37
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
341 shares @ 87.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$332.89
$32.89
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by July 31?
306 shares @ 86.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$305.72
$40.72
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
310 shares @ 48.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$303.97
$153.97
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
680 shares @ 43.5¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$255.16
$-41.10
- NO
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by July 31?
336 shares @ 34.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$253.44
$138.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?$100.00Jul 26, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$99.62Jul 26, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Evans appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$51.70Jul 26, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Downey Jr. appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$8.73Jul 26, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pedro Pascal appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$133.03Jul 26, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$6.13Jul 25, 17:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.46Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?$22.96Jul 24, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?$7.40Jul 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed?$16.98Jul 24, 15:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.17Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$60.00Jul 24, 00:32 UTC
- REWARD$7.37Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?$58.18Jul 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?$4.59Jul 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?$171.84Jul 23, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?$67.00Jul 23, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?$67.99Jul 23, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?$3.45Jul 23, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Batman: Part II be delayed?$6.95Jul 23, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $29.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.