Tempting-Separation
0x94dd004acdf394cf8a97fcfefab60249757492f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-326.86
Realised
$7.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
800 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.14
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?
400 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-101.50
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?
85 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-29.75
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?
82 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-22.92
- YES
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?
50 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
50 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-12-20?
40 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?
40 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.60
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMAston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$20.00Dec 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$49.90Dec 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AZ win on 2025-12-21?$19.20Dec 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score$11.40Dec 21, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$46.50Dec 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?$0.20Dec 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?$0.32Dec 21, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?$1.88Dec 21, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?$5.40Dec 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$16.80Dec 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win on 2025-12-21?$18.40Dec 21, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win on 2025-12-21?$24.36Dec 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?$38.50Dec 21, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2025-12-21?$21.06Dec 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2025-12-21?$5.40Dec 21, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?$48.00Dec 21, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SBV Excelsior vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?$11.00Dec 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SBV Excelsior vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?$1.00Dec 20, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?$0.49Dec 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?$9.11Dec 20, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $14.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.