Curvy-Terminology
0x94e6aede6ea6e4de8d0fd76e3865962c20c72d1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.92
Total PnL
$-99.34
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
84 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 27?
2025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 30?
903 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 24?
752 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 25?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Backpack launch a token on March 31?
428 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?$1.03Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?$2.06Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$2.06Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$3.09Jun 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 3 - 0 Switzerland?$2.06Jun 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?$1.03Jun 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$8.23Jun 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.27Jun 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.35Jun 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.54Jun 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.54Jun 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.54Jun 12, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.54Jun 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$8.19Jun 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$27.00Jun 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$3.00Jun 7, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$3.00Jun 7, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.