0x94f4f514545266a7647872dd385369af793685bc
0x94f4f514545266a7647872dd385369af793685bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$47.50
Total PnL
$-381.89
Realised
$508.41
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
413 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$47.50
$-2.06
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3320 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-249.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
2945 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
2475 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
1600 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1555 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
1168 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
561 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$51.75Jul 20, 08:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$175.68Jul 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.32Jul 19, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$179.71Jul 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.60Jul 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$83.70Jul 19, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.93Jul 19, 04:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$939.16Jul 15, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.13Jul 14, 21:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $142.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.