Gargantuan-Experience
0x950db5054b0a301d16335abf95cce5932a0d77d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-679.36
Realised
$-30.63
Win rate
17%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
1020 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
1019 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
306 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 9?
257 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?
209 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.00Jul 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.00Jul 23, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.94Jul 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.01Jul 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.72Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.02Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.95Jul 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.00Jul 23, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?$0.93Jul 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?$1.03Jul 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.99Jul 17, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.02Jul 17, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?$0.85Jul 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?$1.02Jul 17, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.01Jul 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.01Jul 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.00Jul 17, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.30Jul 16, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
30 closed markets, 17% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.