Revolving-Autumn-Acre
0x9518f01d1437bbb6eeffca9588fbc6f4df979e0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$54.72
Total PnL
$-58.30
Realised
$11.69
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 24?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.20
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 23?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.70
$0.10
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 24?
18 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.54
$-0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.10
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?
36 shares @ 36.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.86
$-6.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?
12 shares @ 29.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.53
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.10
$-0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 23?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.08
$-0.16
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.36
$-3.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?
1 shares @ 36.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.23
$-0.15
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$3.23Jul 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$2.23Jul 23, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?$7.40Jul 23, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 24?$10.89Jul 23, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 24?$13.20Jul 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$2.90Jul 23, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 23?$1.45Jul 23, 05:58 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 23?$5.93Jul 23, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 23?$3.74Jul 23, 05:47 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 23?$4.06Jul 23, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 23?$1.80Jul 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 23?$1.80Jul 23, 05:23 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?$12.53Jul 23, 04:18 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?$1.31Jul 23, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?$3.10Jul 23, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?$4.89Jul 23, 04:16 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?$3.69Jul 23, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?$1.85Jul 23, 02:43 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?$1.31Jul 23, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 23?$3.10Jul 23, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.