Remorseful-Allowance
0x9521267a7ad031b800f98a670fb8204096033e48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.90
Realised
$-0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
1712 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on March 14?
1377 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?
1165 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
986 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
186 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 14?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MELISSA MULLINS
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
44 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on March 13?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$8.57Jun 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$6.90Apr 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.00Apr 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.65Apr 24, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.07Apr 24, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.57Apr 24, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.00Apr 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$3.00Apr 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$2.00Apr 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Apr 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.20Apr 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.20Apr 7, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$0.02Apr 7, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$11.10Apr 3, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?$2.00Apr 3, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$15.64Mar 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 4.5 Rounds$3.00Mar 19, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.01Mar 19, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.